Exit Planning
How Inventory and Work in Process Affect a Manufacturing Business Sale
Free Business ValuationInventory and work in process affect a manufacturing sale twice: once in earnings, because inventory accounting drives cost of goods sold, and again at closing, because inventory and WIP are usually part of the working capital the seller must deliver. Weak counts, inconsistent costing, obsolete stock and customer-owned material are where buyers find reasons to lower the price. Clean records protect both numbers.
For many machine shops, fabricators and contract manufacturers, inventory and WIP are among the largest assets on the balance sheet. They are also among the hardest to support. A buyer cannot see work on the floor in a P&L, so it relies on counts, job-costing records and reconciliations. Where those are missing, the buyer fills the gap with its own assumptions, and those assumptions rarely favor the seller.
Why inventory matters to both price and proceeds
Inventory accounting changes reported earnings, and inventory balances change the closing payment. Sellers need to understand both effects.
| Where it shows up | How it works | Seller risk |
|---|---|---|
| Earnings (EBITDA) | Ending inventory lowers cost of goods sold. If inventory is overstated, profit is overstated too. | The buyer’s quality-of-earnings work restates inventory and lowers EBITDA, which lowers the price at every turn of the multiple. |
| Working capital at closing | Inventory and WIP are usually counted in the working capital the seller must deliver against the peg. | Stock the buyer values lower at closing reduces the final payment through the true-up. |
| Diligence confidence | Reliable counts and costing tell the buyer the rest of the financials are reliable too. | Poor inventory records lead buyers to question margins, backlog and add-backs. |
Our guide to working capital in a manufacturing sale explains how the peg and true-up work.
The four inventory issues buyers test first
1. Counts and reconciliation
Buyers want to know when the company last did a full physical count, whether cycle counts are done, and whether the count matches the general ledger. A count done only at year end, with large adjustments each time, suggests the monthly figures are estimates. That weakens both the trailing earnings and the working capital peg.
2. Obsolete and slow-moving stock
Material bought for a program that ended, finished goods for a customer that left, or bar stock that has sat for years may still be on the books at full cost. Buyers usually ask for an inventory aging report and expect old or unused items to be written down or reserved. If the seller has not done it, the buyer will, usually at the closing table.
3. Costing method and overhead
How labor and overhead are applied to inventory and WIP changes the value of every job on the floor. If the method changed between years, or overhead rates are not updated as volumes change, margins become hard to compare across periods. Buyers look for a consistent, documented method.
4. Customer-owned and consigned material
Many contract manufacturers hold material, tooling or finished goods that belong to customers. If that material is mixed into the company’s own inventory, or included in the count, both earnings and working capital can be overstated. Buyers will ask for a list of customer-owned items and how they are tracked.
How WIP gets valued, and where the disputes start
Work in process is partly finished jobs: material issued, labor spent and overhead applied, but not yet shipped or billed. Its value depends on how far along each job is and how much cost has been booked against it.
Common problems in manufacturing WIP:
- Estimated, not measured. WIP is calculated as a rough percentage of open orders rather than from job-costing records.
- Losses not recognized. A job that is over budget is still carried at full cost, even though the remaining revenue will not cover it.
- Billing ahead or behind. Progress billings or customer deposits do not line up with the work completed, which makes WIP and revenue harder to match.
- Stale jobs. Jobs that have sat open for months, waiting on customer changes or rework, remain in WIP at full value.
A buyer that cannot rebuild WIP from job records will usually take a conservative view. The seller can avoid that by running a WIP schedule monthly, by job, with the costs booked and the expected margin on completion.
Avoiding double-counting in the deal
The same inventory can be counted twice in a deal if the seller is not careful: once in the earnings that set the price, and again in an add-back or a separate payment. Buyers watch for this, and sellers should too.
| Situation | The double-count | The cleaner treatment |
|---|---|---|
| Inventory write-down added back to EBITDA | The seller adds back a write-down as one-time, but the obsolete stock is still counted at full value in working capital. | If the write-down is added back, the stock should not also count at full value in the closing balance. |
| Asking to be paid separately for inventory | The seller expects a price for the business plus a separate payment for inventory, when the buyer assumes inventory is part of normal working capital. | Agree in the LOI whether inventory is included in the price through the peg or handled separately. |
| Year-end inventory adjustment | A large adjustment boosts earnings in the year the buyer is pricing, but reverses in the next year. | Show the adjustment, explain it and make sure monthly earnings are stated consistently. |
| Customer-owned material in the count | Material that belongs to the customer adds to inventory and working capital. | Exclude customer-owned items and track them separately. |
A hypothetical example
A machine shop shows $1,800,000 of inventory and WIP on its books. In diligence, the buyer’s accountants find:
- $140,000 of material and finished goods for a program that ended two years ago, with no other customer or use for it,
- $60,000 of customer-owned bar stock included in the count, and
- $100,000 of WIP on three jobs that are already over budget, where the cost already booked will not be recovered from the customer.
In this example, the accountants conclude that all three items should come off the books. Together that is $300,000 of overstated inventory. Part of it may also have flowed through cost of goods sold, overstating the trailing earnings. If the buyer concludes that $80,000 of the overstatement inflated last year’s EBITDA, at a 6.0x multiple that is $480,000 off the price. Working capital can take a second hit. If the peg was set from the old, uncorrected balances, the corrected inventory delivered at closing can come in as much as $300,000 below it. If the peg is recalculated on the same corrected basis, most of that second hit goes away. That is why the inventory method should be agreed before the peg is. None of this means the business is weak. It means the records were not ready for the scrutiny of a sale.
What to clean up before you go to market
- Do a full physical count and reconcile it to the general ledger. Then keep up cycle counts so monthly figures can be supported.
- Age the inventory and reserve or write down obsolete and slow-moving items yourself.
- Document the costing method for labor and overhead, and apply it consistently across the periods buyers will review.
- Run a monthly WIP schedule by job, with costs to date, expected costs to complete and expected margin.
- Separate customer-owned material and tooling in the system and on the floor.
- Agree on the treatment early. Settle in the LOI how inventory and WIP are treated in the price and in working capital.
Inventory and WIP are also central to a quality-of-earnings review. See our guide to quality of earnings for manufacturing sellers for the broader financial preparation.
Frequently asked questions
Is inventory included in the sale price of a manufacturing business?
Usually, a normal level of inventory is expected to stay in the business as part of working capital, so it is included in the price rather than paid for separately. Some smaller deals handle inventory separately. The treatment should be agreed in the LOI.
How do buyers value work in process?
Buyers usually look at job-costing records to see the material, labor and overhead booked against each open job, then test whether the remaining revenue will cover the cost to complete. Jobs that will lose money, or that have sat open too long, are often valued lower.
What happens to obsolete inventory in a sale?
Buyers typically expect obsolete or slow-moving inventory to be written down or excluded. If the seller has not done it, the buyer will usually adjust for it in diligence or at closing.
Can inventory problems change my EBITDA?
Yes. Because ending inventory reduces cost of goods sold, overstated inventory makes earnings look higher than they are. A buyer that restates inventory may also restate EBITDA, which lowers the price.
How should customer-owned material be handled?
It should be tracked separately and excluded from the company’s own inventory and from the working capital count. Buyers will ask for a list of customer-owned material and tooling.
Not sure how your inventory and WIP will hold up in diligence? Start with a free, confidential manufacturing valuation.
This article is general educational content for business owners. It is not legal, tax, accounting or transaction advice. The example is hypothetical. Inventory accounting should be reviewed with a qualified accountant.

